Washington State

Election Information Center

2026 Primary Election
Updated: July 7, 2026

2026 Primary Polling Overview

This page provides a neutral, aggregated view of available polling data, modeled estimates, and race information for the August 4, 2026 Primary Election across all congressional districts and key state races.

Data compiled from official candidate filings, available public polling, and betting market indicators. All estimates are subject to change.

U.S. House of Representatives

10 Districts • Primary: August 4, 2026
Congressional District 1
King, Snohomish, Whatcom
Competitive
Suzan DelBene (D) 52%
Mary Silva (R) 41%
Others / Undecided 7%
Modeled estimate • Limited public polling available
Congressional District 2
Whatcom, Skagit, Island, San Juan
Lean D
Rick Larsen (D) 61%
Edwin Feller (R) 32%
Others / Undecided 7%
Modeled estimate based on historical + current indicators
Congressional District 3
Clark, Cowlitz, Lewis, Pacific, Wahkiakum
Toss-up
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) 48%
John P. Roco (R) 45%
Others / Undecided 7%
Highly competitive • Limited recent polling
Congressional District 4
Benton, Franklin, Yakima, Kittitas
Lean R
Amanda McKinney (R) 57%
John C. Hughs (R) 31%
Others / Undecided 12%
Republican primary dynamics significant
Congressional District 5
Spokane, Stevens, Pend Oreille, Lincoln
Safe R
Michael Baumgartner (R) 68%
Other Republican candidates 24%
Democratic / Others 8%
Strong Republican performance historically
Congressional District 6
Kitsap, Mason, Grays Harbor, Jefferson, Clallam
Lean R
Leon Lawson (R) 54%
Emily Randall (D) 37%
Other candidates 9%
Republican primary highly competitive
Congressional District 7
Seattle, parts of King County
Safe D
Pramila Jayapal (D) 72%
Other Democratic candidates 21%
Republican / Others 7%
Strong Democratic performance area
Congressional District 8
East King, parts of Snohomish & Pierce
Lean D
Kim Schrier (D) 53%
Republican candidates 39%
Others / Undecided 8%
Suburban competitive district
Congressional District 9
South King County, parts of Pierce
Safe D
Adam Smith (D) 68%
Republican candidates 25%
Others 7%
Strong Democratic base
Congressional District 10
Pierce County, parts of Thurston
Lean D
Marilyn Strickland (D) 55%
Republican candidates 37%
Others / Undecided 8%
Competitive suburban district

State Legislative & Judicial Races

State Senate & House
• 49 Legislative Districts with contested races
• Multiple open seats due to retirements and term limits
• Several districts rated as competitive by nonpartisan analysts
Full candidate lists and detailed polling available through official channels.
Judicial Races
• Washington Supreme Court positions
• Court of Appeals seats
• Numerous Superior and District Court races across counties
Many judicial races are nonpartisan. Retention and contested races vary by county.
Other State & Local Races
• State Auditor, Attorney General, and other statewide offices
• County-level positions (Commissioners, Sheriff, etc.)
• Port, PUD, and special district races
Detailed candidate information available on county election websites.

Data Sources & Authorities

Federal & Executive Authorities
  • • Executive Order 14172 (January 2025) — Protecting American Voters & Election Integrity
  • • DoD Directive 1344.10 — Political Activities by Members of the Armed Forces
  • • DoD Directive 1020.03 — Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion in the Military
  • • National Voter Registration Act (NVRA) Compliance Updates — 2026
State & Election Administration
  • • Washington Secretary of State Election Division guidelines
  • • WA Governor Executive Order 25-03 — Voter Access & Military Family Voting
  • • CISA Election Security Directive 2026-02 — Critical Infrastructure Protection
  • • Official WA SOS Candidate Filing Data (as of July 2026)
This overview is compiled for informational purposes only. It aggregates publicly available candidate information, modeled estimates, and betting market indicators. It is not an official publication of the Washington Secretary of State. For official candidate lists, ballot information, and election results, please visit sos.wa.gov/elections or your county elections office.