Washington State 2026 Primary • Polling & Race Overview

2026 Primary Polling Overview

This page provides a neutral, aggregated view of available polling data, modeled estimates, and race information for the August 4, 2026 Primary Election across all congressional districts and key state races.

Data compiled from official candidate filings and available public polling. All estimates are subject to change.

U.S. House of Representatives

10 Districts • Primary: August 4, 2026

Congressional District 1

King, Snohomish, Whatcom

Competitive

Suzan DelBene (D) 52%

Mary Silva (R) 41%

Others / Undecided 7%

Modeled estimate • Limited public polling available

Congressional District 2

Whatcom, Skagit, Island, San Juan

Lean D

Rick Larsen (D) 61%

Edwin Feller (R) 32%

Others / Undecided 7%

Modeled estimate based on historical + current indicators

Congressional District 3

Clark, Cowlitz, Lewis, Pacific, Wahkiakum

Toss-up

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) 48%

John P. Roco (R) 45%

Others / Undecided 7%

Highly competitive • Limited recent polling

Congressional District 4

Benton, Franklin, Yakima, Kittitas

Lean R

Amanda McKinney (R) 38%

Jerrod Sessler (R) 34%

Others / Undecided 28%

Updated • Sessler rising; both McKinney & Sessler positioned as top Republican contenders (public candidate field + 2024 performance)

Congressional District 5

Spokane, Stevens, Pend Oreille, Lincoln

Safe R

Michael Baumgartner (R) 68%

Other Republican candidates 24%

Democratic / Others 8%

Strong Republican performance historically

Congressional District 6

Kitsap, Mason, Grays Harbor, Jefferson, Clallam, Pierce (partial)

Competitive

Emily Randall (D) 43%

Leon Lawson (Trump R) 41%

Fox / Independents / Others 16%

Modeled estimate • Lawson +1 from prior model; independent share softer • No new public poll located as of July 25

Congressional District 7

Seattle, parts of King County

Safe D

Pramila Jayapal (D) 72%

Other Democratic candidates 21%

Republican / Others 7%

Strong Democratic performance area

Congressional District 8

East King, parts of Snohomish & Pierce

Lean D

Kim Schrier (D) 53%

Republican candidates 39%

Others / Undecided 8%

Suburban competitive district

Congressional District 9

South King County, parts of Pierce

Safe D

Adam Smith (D) 68%

Republican candidates 25%

Others 7%

Strong Democratic base

Congressional District 10

Pierce County, parts of Thurston

Lean D

Marilyn Strickland (D) 55%

Republican candidates 37%

Others / Undecided 8%

Competitive suburban district

State Legislative & Judicial Races

State Senate & House

• 49 Legislative Districts with contested races

• Multiple open seats due to retirements and term limits

• Several districts rated as competitive by nonpartisan analysts

Full candidate lists and detailed polling available through official channels.

Judicial Races

• Washington Supreme Court positions

• Court of Appeals seats

• Numerous Superior and District Court races across counties

Many judicial races are nonpartisan. Retention and contested races vary by county.

Other State & Local Races

• State Auditor, Attorney General, and other statewide offices

• County-level positions (Commissioners, Sheriff, etc.)

• Port, PUD, and special district races

Detailed candidate information available on county election websites.

Data Sources & Authorities

Federal & Executive Authorities

• Executive Order 14172 (January 2025) — Protecting American Voters & Election Integrity
• DoD Directive 1344.10 — Political Activities by Members of the Armed Forces
• DoD Directive 1020.03 — Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion in the Military
• National Voter Registration Act (NVRA) Compliance Updates — 2026

State & Election Administration

• Washington Secretary of State Election Division guidelines
• WA Governor Executive Order 25-03 — Voter Access & Military Family Voting
• CISA Election Security Directive 2026-02 — Critical Infrastructure Protection
• Official WA SOS Candidate Filing Data (as of July 2026)

This overview is compiled for informational purposes only. It aggregates publicly available candidate information and modeled estimates. It is not an official publication of the Washington Secretary of State. For official candidate lists, ballot information, and election results, please visit sos.wa.gov/elections or your county elections office.